Re: MONSTER variance (w/ graphs)
[ QUOTE ]
Just want to say that if I showed anyone of these hands to anyone on my AIM list and said doughnutz played it the response would be "typical doughnutz".
[/ QUOTE ]
Well if someone told me they were all played by a known stars regular, my first guess would have been pokkermon and then doug... fwiw these are all poorly played. There is time where capping Axs is good play but not when someone 3 bet your UTG raises imo. There is no doubt in my mind that 1k bb's swings are the norm for a guy like doug or pokkermon. If they haven't experienced more of them now it might just be because they caught the good side of variance and that they didn't play nearly enough hands.
When I see his graph and that he has been such a huge winner(considering how bad he plays sometimes) I feel that variance could be even worse than some might think. In the past everyone said that win rates wasn't accurate for less than 50k hands but now maybe should we raise the limit to 300-400k hands ?
|