Re: Comm 40: KK vs Gabe and a donk
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there's no real reason for gabe to know that shawn has a big hand too.
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That's exactly why Shawn has to call.
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I think with the BB still present in the hand Gabe's chances of bluffing with AK to get Shawn to fold the other AK are significantly decreased. Protected pot and all, sure, but the parlay Gabe has to have in that spot for one player to have T9/etc and the other player to have AK
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The presence of the third player can make the bluff look stronger. Also, his range shouldn't be all that scary to Gabe since every fish hand and its mother has some sort of straight draw on a QJx board and should also be calling the turn with a gutshot or better given that the pot is so large. I also think that the fish will usually have raised somewhere along the line with a Q since unlike Shawn he's in a position to protect his hand and the fact that he's passive is mitigated by the fact that he's bad and probably doesn't read hands well (e.g. he'll take flopping top pair more at its face value). So I think his range consists of a lot of J's and a lot of AT/AK/KT/T9/K9 etc, and perhaps he'll even fold the J's some of the time to a river bet.
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(and while you are right that Shawn's handrange certainly is favored toward AK here, it's not as huge as one might initially think as I don't think Shawn is going to give excessive action on this flop with AA, KK, or AK, so it's basically 6:9 weighted in AK's favor).
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There's plenty of room in between "giving excessive action" and check-calling the whole way down with AA. Against a range of JJ-AA and AK, AA has 62% equity while KK has 36% equity. I think the only way Shawn plays AA this passively is if he picks up some kind of tell or is running bad. And that's the thing ... once you remove AA from Shawn's range his range becomes really non-threatening.
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