[Nate tha\\\' Great]

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Also, the fact that you will occasionally chop with KK is non-trivial. It doesn't give you the odds to call by itself but it materially reduces the odds you need on one of these sorts of parlays to come through. If somehow you knew that he could never have the other KK there then the decision would be closer.

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Yeah, that's basically what I was trying to point out, but I was a few whiskeys in at that point. I don't really know Shawn, but I do tend to think that there isn't much value in Gabe betting with KK there on the river (with the exception of him getting Shawn to fold the other KK).

Rob

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No value in him betting KK? KK's pretty much the nuts against Sean's range. I just can't see AA playing that passively, not with a third player in the hand. AQ/KQs/etc is unlikely based on preflop and the fact that Sean might well have bet into him on the river. QQ and JJ are impossible as they would have given more action.

From his point of view Sean's range on the river is like 65% AK, 20% TT, 5-10% some other marginally showdownable hand like 99 or AJs, 5-10% something that beats or chops with him.