Re: Hand Reading Quiz.
Ok, results.
First this is my thought process through the hand.
Preflop: His call doesn't really tell me much because I just sat. If he is a tag I'd put him on a mid SC or pp. But, unknown he could have any number of hands, including any two broadways.
Flop: This is a great flop to c-bet. No draws, a high card etc. I can get better hands to fold like small pairs, and oop with A high, I don't mind worse hands folding either.
When he calls, I pretty much decide I'm done with the hand unless I can represent some kinda scare card later because he's not really calling with any draws here.
Turn: Hmmm....he donks out at me. This very often means a weak hand. Like a middle pp or something. He's likely betting to see where he's at. Which, is why it's not a good reason to bet.
So, I decide I'll tell him where he's at. I'm going to tell him he's behind. This is where my bet size is a little confusing, because it is small in relation to the size of the pot.
This is something I've been playing with. Often times when you repop a small bet like this with a pot size raise, they'll comment on the fact that it is a 'large' raise. When, in reality it is not that large. They just seeing it as large because it is relatively large compared to the size of their donk underbet. So, that's why I went to 3.5x his raise. I figure it'll get the same reaction as a $40-$50 raise here. I'm looking to fold out his 88 or whatever weak hand he's holding here.
Ok, so he calls. Strange. But, I still don't think he has much of a hand.
River: Ok, an A. I'll let the cat out of the bag and tell you now I had AJ. So, now I'm pretty sure my hand just got there. But, then he donks again. This is strange. I really didn't think he's bluffing very much here. At this point, I'm thinking my AJ is not good. But.....this is one way we make money at poker. I'll pay the 6-1 odds he's offering me here cause surely I'm good here 1 out of 7 times. Also, later when I have the best hand I'll charge him like 2-1 and profit.
So, what does villain flip? Well, it was a weak hand, but I was surprised to see JT.
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