[Leviathan]

**Calculations part 2**

3.Hero 3bets small
Something like 100=>500=>900
Because there's no difference in David's post between small raise and min raise, i suppose that hero will min raise. That way, he earns the same info on vilain's possible holding but puts at risk a minimum amount.

__3.1Vilain 4bets big (here it means all in): should hero call?
_____3.1.1.Hero folds to Vilain's all in reraise
EV=-800
_____3.1.2.Hero calls all in
To make it simple, i suppose that goofy hand has the same chance of winning than a smaller pocket pair.
Hand_____EV Hero Hand__Hero's share__Net win__________Prob win
_____Times_____Size pot_____Cost call_______Prob Hand
-------------------------------------------------------------------
AKs__0,4__0.66__7035__4643__3400___1243_____8,7%__ _276
AA __3____0,18__7035__1266__3400___-2134____66,2%__-1392
KK___0,1__0,50__7035__3518__3400___117,5____2,2%__ _3
QQ___0,6__0,82__7035__5769___3400___2369___13,0%__ 309
JJ ___0,3__0,82__7035__5769__3400___2369____6,5%____1 54
goo__0,2__0,82__7035___5769___3400___2369___4,4%__ __103

EV=108-1392+3+309+154+103=-714$
>-800$ so hero should call if vilain shoves.
Vilain shoves 4,6 times out of 20 (23%)
Contribution of 3.1 to 3.= 0.23x(-714)=-164$

__3.2. Vilain calls

Hand_____EV Hero Hand__Hero's share__Net win__________Prob win
_____Times_____Size pot_____Cost call_______Prob Hand
-------------------------------------------------------------------
AKs__1,6__0.66__1835__1211__800___411_____10,4%___ 43
AA __3____0,18__1835__330__800___-470_____19,5%___-92
KK___0,9__0,50__1835__918___800___118_____5,8%____ 7
QQ___5,4__0,82__1835_1505___800___705____35,1%___2 47
JJ ___2,7__0,82__1835__1505__800___705____11,7%___82
goo__1,8__0,82__1835__1505___800__705____11,7%___8 2

EV=43-92+7+247+124+82=411$
Vilain calls 15,4 times out of 20 (77%)
Contribution of 3.2 to 3.= 0.77x(411)=317$

Final EV of 3. (Hero 3bets small)= -164 + 317 = +153$
Second conclusion: between fold, raise big, and raise small, hero should reraise small (win=153$ after the first raise, or +53$ (+2,12 big blinds) after cards are dealt).