[yourface]

we are going to be capped by a set or straight, so we need to be ahead 66% of the time to 3bet since we are risking 2 bets (well, we do have some equity but w/e) to win 1 (and so does he usually, but I don't want to work all that out).

behind: 99*3, 44*3, KJ*16, J8*16 --> 38 combos
ahead: A9*12 (quite unlikely imo), AJ*16 (meh maybe), AT*12 (unlikely imo), AQ*12 (somewhat likely), T9*9, KQ*8 --> 69 combos

so we are ahead 64% of the time. and to be honest I really don't think his range is that wide. AT and A9 especially seem very unlikely, and he will raise the flop with pairs a lot of the time.

imo straights make up a big part of his range. I would have reraised this at the table for sure, but I don't think it's right versus a non-spewtard.