[The Funky Llama]

By your weightings he has 3.3 outs on average making it close to a call.

I think you give way too much weight to the 4 out sceneario though. For you to have 4 outs you need patrik not to have a set, A7 or A8, and schneids to have TT-QQ. I think schneids is a lot more likely to raise the flop with KK/AA than JJ/TT and I think patrik has a set a lot so I dont think that parlay is particularly likely.