Re: 27s: disagree with SNGPT?
I have tried to quantify the effect off the big blind hitting Hero in the next hand. If we assume everyone folds if we folds in the original hand, we get in this situation:
UTG 1870
CO 3490
Btn 3615
SB 2975
Hero 1550
Assuming all players play by the equilibrium ranges I have calculated Heros EV after each of the 25 possible outcomes of this hand, and weighted them with the chances of each outcome. My calculations shows that Heros equity after this hand (as BB) is 11,13 %. This is indeed far away from the 13 % fold Equity suggested by SNGPT in the original hand.
Even if my presumptions are somewhat off, I think this indicates that Hero can make a larger –EV push then -1,5 %.
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