View Single Post
  #19  
Old 05-06-2007, 09:37 AM
The White Rabbit The White Rabbit is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: Wonderland
Posts: 1,453
Default Re: KK 3bettet get raised on flop

I'm a little stunned about all the ppl saying call too. I think it's a relatively clear fold against a nitty opponent. He's not value shoving worse and while it might be a fine spot to bluff (depending on your cbet % in 3-bet pots), I never ever see it happening (especially not from nits).

You need ~32% equity to break-even.

Board: 5c Qc 5d
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 29.636% 26.23% 03.41% 3635 472.50 { KhKs }
Hand 1: 70.364% 66.96% 03.41% 9280 472.50 { QQ+, AcKc, AQs }

I think this range is even a little too optimistic considering my perception of the general 18/10.

Can the call crowd provide their estimated range? I don't buy a value shove w/ JJ from a 18/10!
Reply With Quote