Re: Meat And Potatoes Real Life Good Question
there's 635 in the pot. hand combos are
AA, 6 ways
AKs, 2 ways
KK, 1 way
QQ, 6 ways
JJ, 6 ways
+ goofy hand.
my intuition is reraising big is wrong but let's just work it out and be sure. of the times our reraise gets called, we are behind 6 and ahead 2 (3:1). of the times we're ahead he is a 2:1 dog to win, of the times we're behind we're 4.75:1 dog to win. so ev if opponent has AA is -2310, ev if opponent has AK is 1155, making our overall ev -1703 if we raise allin and get called by just AKs and AA. of course, you said he folds QQ and JJ and other hands, so he's folding about twice as often as we're getting called. those times we win 635. so we are losing about 142 bucks over this hand range by raising allin.
|