Re: Official Barry Bonds Countdown Thread
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I don't think any intelligent person would argue peak Arod was a better hitter than peak Bonds, but don't you need to discount Bonds for injury?
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Of course no one would argue that...but we're discussing peak A-rod versus present day, 43-year old Bonds.
Am I factoring in the recent injury? Well, he *is* two years removed from it, and can leverage his lower body much better than he could last year (they always said it took about 18 months to heal that type of injury, and last year he was diminished)....but then again, he ain't no spring chicken here, and the effects of age + injury certainly means the days of peak Bonds are gone...
BUT...injury or no...my point is simply that Bonds could roll out of bed, show up to the park using a broomstick for a bat, and match comparable EqA to peak A-rod...simply because of the edge I find in how it is calculated and how the two perform on the field.
EqA is a great stat for prop bets like this when people don't realize the hidden values and how Bonds amasses EqA equity seemingly out of thin air.
Consider, last year Arod posted a .319 EqA adjusted for all-time.
The last time Barry was around those parts we have to dig all the way back to 1988, when Reagan was President, and Bonds posted an all-time adjusted EqA of .316
He hit .283 with 24 homers that year. He batted leadoff. For the Pirates. Back when Michael Jackson was Black.
Do I think Bonds can reach .330-340 EqA this year? In his sleep.
Injury? Pfft...he could get a .319 EqA in a wheelchair, he doesn't even need knees to do that.
Obviously, the days of .450+ EqA are gone....but .380-390 is definately reachable for Bonds, and definately going to take an unprecedented effort for A-rod to match.
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