Re: I\'m paranoid that I\'m folding too much
Ok, this is wearing thin, so I'll try just one more time. We don't have a read, so in order for betting the flop and then check/folding the turn to be correct your default read on a .25/.50 player that posts in MP2 and then checks when folded to preflop has to include two things:
1. He won't call a bet on the flop without hitting the flop. (Note that if he'll call with any sort of draw, you're ahead way more than you're behind.)
2. He won't bet the turn if checked to without a made hand.
So, forget the math. You don't have enough information to put any meaningful math to it.
Now I'm done.
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