[durrrr]

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Yes, you are absolutely right. I think TWP is way off here. A lot of the time you have a hand that you think only beats a bluff, and they all merge together--the relative strengths are pretty much meaningless, there is no threshold determined by hand strength. Often times on the river that is the situation, guy bets, you only beat a bluff. A villain in this hand will sometimess call with Q high and sometimes fold JJ. His decision will be made based on his gut, timing, recent/past history, tilt, etc. The hand threshold thing doesnt make sense.

A bet like this is hard to analyze in a nutshell. However the simple fact remains that it makes you harder to play against when your hand ranges are wider. This kind of line could plant a seed in someone's mind and make river decisions from that point on very hard. A lot of times people feel like their weak hands that only beat a bluff, also start to beat hands they think you might be value betting thin, and then they usually play bad and call too much.

I generally like bets like this, especially because when you check here the villain bluffs close to 0%.

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hrm basically every word strass said...