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Old 04-25-2007, 04:11 PM
Cadence Lauren Cadence Lauren is offline
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Join Date: Dec 2004
Location: only an egg
Posts: 37
Default Re: probably standard..

How is a raise to $8 into a $4 pot, as two posters have suggested, profitable? If you're done if you get called or raised, you'd have to induce a fold 2/3 of the time to break even, no? Do we really think that's realistic?

This brings us to a $6 bet, which would only have to induce a fold 60% of the time to break even, but which is imo much more likely to be called than the $8 bet. This doesn't sound like a great option, either.

I like folding here, especially with no reads. If villain is bluffing, he got us, but I don't think he's bluffing 60%-67% of the time, and I think he will call a raise when he is bluffing an additional few percent, making both of our raise options unprofitable.
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