Re: Tough spot with AQo in the SB and UTG+1 raise, $650 ME Qualifier
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Why is everyone checking this flop???
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I'm checking to get bluffed at by KK/QQ/JJ, to get "value-bets" from AJ/AT besides AK (yeah, those are not likely from UTG+1 raiser, but who knows). There are no draws on the board to be afraid of realistically (especially since we had Ad). If he's behind, he has 2-3 outs. If he is ahead, we have 3 outs. Let's try to widen the villain's range with which chips go into the pot.
If you bet...well yeah, he's not folding the unlikely AJ/AT anyway I suppose. But JJ-KK can get away.
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This is exactly why I checked, I'm folding out anything like TT-KK, maybe a weak A. If I check here I can force him to pretty much c-bet anything he raised with.
The question is now, do I raise on the flop here or call? Again if I raise I'm going to fold out anything less than a pair of Aces, maybe even weak Aces, and certainly NOT AK - so why check/raise the flop?
I called the flop:
Flop: (t350) 6[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 7[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
Hero checks, <font color="#CC3333">UTG+1 bets t250</font>, Hero calls t250.
Turn: (t850) K[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
Hero ???
Now what? Check/call again? Lead out? Check/push (awful idea I think)
What's our river plan if a Diamond comes? If another broadway comes? If a blank comes?
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