Re: 10/25 deep 4bet pot big draw
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call
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why not reraise?
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way behind.
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You must've misread the OP. Against a set, Hero 2:1 dog. That's the absolute worst shape he can be in. It looks like this guy has a very good hand, but that could be 2 pair or better (or very rarely AA). Vs. a range of 2 pair, set, straight, Hero's like 40% to win.
I shove the flop all day since I wouldn't be sure of what to do on a number of turn cards, and I'm looking for a spot to show this guy that I fight back.
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Given this action, when 6.5k goes in the middle you are a 60/40 dog. The best I think you can hope for is AK/AA. You have near zero fe imo...I prefer a peel...
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I agree with that. However, SOME portion of the time, he does fold here. 60/40 is how it's gonna end up very often, but with the small amount of FE you're not going to be worse than 50/50 here overall. There's probably some merit to calling and playing on, or maybe even reraising in case he's crazier than we think tonight and wants to do something very stupid. I'm not saying calling and c/f'ing if we miss or reraising with the intention of getting it in are terrible options, but shoving cannot possibly be terrible. HS players in this thread are saying things like, "You're gonna be 25% if all the money goes in." WTF? How? Like I said, I shove because of metagame, and the fact that I can possibly avoid making a big mistake (folding the turn when he's much weaker than what he's repping) that I am somewhat likely to make vs. this player.
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