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Old 02-22-2006, 01:48 PM
RobGW RobGW is offline
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Join Date: Jan 2004
Posts: 755
Default Re: $11 - Folded JJ pf.

[ QUOTE ]
One calls, 60%
Hero wins, 35% - Hero has 2530 (.35 * 2530) * .6 = 531.2
Villain wins, 65% - Hero has 0 (0)

[/ QUOTE ]

I think hero is going to win more than 35%. vs AK he's gonna win 55%. vs a lower pp he's 80%. vs higher pp he's 20%. I guess I'd say its closer to 50% overall. Iguess it depends on how often you get called by a lower pp but at the 11's I think its a good possibility.

[ QUOTE ]
Hero calls and pushes a favorable flop, 1 Villain calls:
15%
Hero wins, 65% - Hero has 2530 (.65 * 2530) * .15 = 246.675
Villain wins, 35% - Hero has 0 (0)
Hero calls and pushes a favorable flop, both Villains call, 10%:
Hero wins, 40% - Hero has 3470 (.4 * 3470) * .1 = 138.8
Villain wins, 60% - Hero has 0


[/ QUOTE ]

OTOH if hero pushes an all undercard flop and gets called its more likely to be an overpair and even if it is ak hero can still lose so I would lower his winning percentage there.

So overall I'd just go with your original thought and just push.
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