[thepizzlefosho]

[ QUOTE ]
"I think I've semi-exposed my hand, but I don't really care because I'm pretty much showing down no matter what."

then you really really should care. I bet and call down a raise.

also I think you're losing tons of value by calling preflop. I'm not sure why you're concerned about fold equity.

[/ QUOTE ]

i gotta totally agree with above. By "exposing your hand" you let the villain value bet you on the river and check behind when he's got nothing. I think you should lead the turn since you are planning on calling a bet anyway, since villain is unlikely to raise a Q here. If you get raised on the turn you still have a ton of outs, and from your read you might still be good so you can just call down. If you are going to cap the flop I really think you should lead the turn.

FWIW I might just call his 3-ball on the flop especially since your read says he is unlikely to have the K. This way he might keep betting the worst hand, and you get a chance to c/r if you improve.