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Old 04-10-2007, 04:35 AM
jlkrusty jlkrusty is offline
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Join Date: Nov 2005
Posts: 517
Default Re: Common No Limit Situation

Either raise or fold. Calling is terrible, as it gives us no good information, and allows almost all drawing hands (even some gut shots with backdoor draws) to correctly stay in the hand. If we want to stay in this hand, we've got to eliminate the players to act behind us. Calling will virtually never do that.

Between raising and folding (and without further information about the players), folding is better. Staying in this hand is, on average, -EV. BB's bet signals a hand that will beat us 70% of the time (according to pokerstove). And, even when we are ahead, it's going to be very difficult to know.

If I knew more about my opponents (like how often they've been calling preflop, etc.), how often BB plays hands like AT, how often he bets them, etc. then I might find a raise here to $1,200 or $1,800. Absent that information, a fold is the best play.
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