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Old 04-10-2007, 02:20 AM
Seputro Seputro is offline
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Join Date: Oct 2004
Location: California
Posts: 81
Default Re: 10/25 NL vs. total fish

Based on your assumption that you "know" villain will call a flop push and your LAG image, I don't see any benefit of waiting for the turn to push it all in.

Potential scare cards on the turn could only increase the chance that villain will release an inferior hand. Scare cards potentially include 8,9,10,J,Q,K,A.

You are way ahead on the flop here. A different case could be made for extremely deep stacks against an aggressive opponent where you put him on a monster draw (OESD + FD), but this is not the case here.

I don't think you should worry about "variance" against a fish. It'll only make you second guess yourself and possibly cost you some big pots in the future.

Also, it's extremely difficult to be an effective LAG player and be worried about variance.

Possibly move down until you aren't afraid of such variance.

(i had a more extensive explanation but the forum switchover deleted the post along with some of the others)
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