Re: High Stakes Poker 4/2
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Board: 7s 6d 3d
Dead:
equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 19.292% 18.69% 00.60% 7216 232.50 { KdKh }
Hand 1: 80.708% 80.11% 00.60% 30929 232.50 { AA, 77-66, 33, 9d8d, 8d7d, 7d5d, 7d4d, Ad7h, 76o, 54o }
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That range of possible hands is too large. With the pre-flop action and the implied odds left in Ivey's stack, the only reasonable hands to call with were 77 and 66.
Ivey wasn't that afraid of aces, he was afraid of a set and obviously he didn't think that Booth was capable of making such a bluff.
Also we don't know his criteria to call or fold in such a spot. Maybe it was a percentage call based on color combinations and the cards "told" him to fold in this spot.
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I have to quote myself to correct the statement. Of course Ivey put Booth on a pair. Now it all depends which range of pairs it was. 22-55 is a bit weak to re-raise in the first place, so probably something 66-xx. Maybe 66 up to JJ. Now with the 6 and the 7 in the flop 2 out of 6 possible pairs hit the set. Adding AA in the equation it looks that Ivey felt it wasn't worth his money.
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