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Old 04-03-2007, 06:15 AM
TreyOfLight TreyOfLight is offline
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Join Date: Sep 2004
Location: You have what I\'m repping
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Default Re: High Stakes Poker 4/2

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I have a feeling that Ivey was pretty sure he had the best hand but was likely only 50/50 if Booth did have a monster draw.

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Ivey isn't going to fold if he genuinely thinks he's in a better than 50/50 situation. That's what weak players do. Ivey thought there was a high % chance he was beat.

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10% * p(KK_beat) + 50% * p(KK_good) != "better than 50/50 situation", even for very low values of KK_beat.

Who knows what Ivey was thinking about, but being beat a high % of the time is not a prerequisite to folding.
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