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Old 04-03-2007, 04:09 AM
Dynasty Dynasty is offline
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Join Date: Sep 2002
Location: Las Vegas
Posts: 16,088
Default Re: High Stakes Poker 4/2

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Ivey isn't going to fold if he genuinely thinks he's in a better than 50/50 situation. That's what weak players do. Ivey thought there was a high % chance he was beat.

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Really? I thought he was putting Booth on some sort of big combo draw and didn't want to gamble. From the sounds of it, the players at the table thought Booth had a draw as well.

Do you think if that was really what Ivey thought, he'd call because he doesn't mind dropping the 300k and reloading? Because they'd run it a couple times? Or what?

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What makes you think Ivey isn't a big gambler? Everything I've ever heard about him tells me he's a big time gambler, including -EV games such as craps. He sounds like an action junkie.

Ivey had about $280,000 in front of him after the pre-flop action. There was $31,100 in the pot pre-flop. Ivey bet $23,000 and Booth went all-in.

That means Ivey had to call about $257,000 in a pot that had $334,100 in it ($31,100 + $23,000 + $23,000 + $257,000). He's getting 1.3:1 to call. Phil Ivey isn't folding getting those odds if he thinks he's 50/50.

Ivey thought there was a high probability he was beat and drawing very badly. That's the only logical conclusion to come to if you think Ivey is the world class player everybody says he is.
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