[Utah]

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Why 3 bet? Do you think you have *any* fold equity here?

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Yes, I think there is some fold equity. However, I think it is more likely that I am simply ahead and he is on a semi-bluff and I am going to charge him for it.

Here was my thinking:

The turn 10 was very unlikely to help him because he would not have played the hand in a way that makes it likely he has a 10. His range:

AA-QQ no club I think he leads the flop or check-raises the flop as he doesn't want to give me a free shot at a flush.
A,10 no club He is most likely going to get a flop bet in
10, anything else He is too unlikely to have, given he raised preflop and I haven't seen him raise with a J,10 type hand
Any flush Possible but a bit unlikely for 2 reasons. 1 - we are heads up. 2 - there is a chance he would have simply led his flush on the flop to disguise it heads up.
AA-QQ with a clubThis what I am most worried about and somewhat likely given his line of play.
2 big cards with a flush draw His most likely holding I believe.
bluff cards Unlikely, but he could have a small pair.

Now, what does he put me on? Well, given my play in the game so far, he puts me on a pair or big cards. a 10 is unlikely for me to have. Given that I am solid, he should know that I can lay down. The 10 on the turn is a great card to check-raise semibluff with as he knows that I have to worry about 3 10s or a flush.

Therefore, given the way the hand played and given the community cards, I figured there was a very high chance he was semibluffing or outright bluffing and the best defense against a semi-bluff is to 3-bet and charge him for it. Also, it is possible, given he is a good player, that he could lay down a hand like JJ or QQ.

The river blanked. He checked and I checked. He flipped over K[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]J[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] and my nines are good.

I think my read was good and the result was certainly favorable. However, I think that I may have over thought the hand and that this is a simple laydown. Against a weaker player I would have laid it down or maybe even have checked the turn.