[cbloom]

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reprogram the sim with 70/30 flips (typical nlhe "getting it in good") and the graphs will look alot more similar.

I'd do this myself (I do have an unused degree in computer science) but I'm drunk and don't care that much.

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I'm sure you realize that even being a great NL player it's more realistic to imagine yourself being in a series of 55/45 flips. Also, as TWP points out, if you move up regularly (as you should) that greatly decreases how close we are to "the long run", and increases the large effect that can come from some short term luck.