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Old 03-27-2007, 12:05 AM
rvg72 rvg72 is offline
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Join Date: Jun 2005
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Default Re: STTF SNG->cash thread

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Already been said but yeah, bet more preflop and more on the flop. I'd be hesitant to bet the river though against most players.

rvg

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Most players check a made flush after playing the hand like that? c'mon, bet the river [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]

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Look at it this way, here is a reasonable breakdown of hands for the villain to a $25 river bet:

10% house and you call reraise
20% flush and you call reraise
10% Q and he calls your $25 bet
30% King and calls your $25 bet
30% Fold

If this is reasonable then checking has an overall EV of +$10.5 and betting $25 and calling a push is +$6.36. Even if he only has a better hand 22% of the time it is still more EV to check.

Thoughts?

(obviously a bunch of assumptions made and whatever but result is fairly accurate)

rvg
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