[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Math is hard. The numbers don't say there's a 95% chance he's a winner. They say something else entirely.
[/ QUOTE ]
Could you expand on this? I would like to learn.
[/ QUOTE ]
There are essentially two numbers to consider, the win rate and variance. Of course, JV hasn't actually supplied the variance, so even the basic results are a bit tenuous. UprightCreature posted some very basic numbers which say that getting DERB's results over that stretch for a break even player is maybe a one in a million event.
Now consider the fact that DERB is not alone in these achievements. We aren't talking about some guy that just got lucky.
- Andrew
www.pokerstove.com