Re: DERB
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5% would mean one in 20, so we'd be seeing a lot of other people playing like derb and making 3bb/100 if that were true. And that's assuming derb is a break even player, from what James says it sounds like he should be losing substantially, not breaking even.
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I think you should take a course in statistics!
Edit: sorry, that was snotty of me. To say that there is 5% chance that DERB is a break even player is not the same as saying that 5% of all break even players will win this much over 100K hands. It is a particular estimate based on his sample.
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