Re: live 20 hand
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I do this 99% of the time too. And I do know this guy well. People who say c/r the flop to get more money in are likely right. He won't fold anything that beats me and likely won't give me action with less. He *might* 3 bet with the Ad but I'm not sure. But there is something to be said for getting more money in the pot with the best hand.
People who are saying to C/r and get it HU though, that I don't get. The limper will never fold anything I want him too and will never unprofitably call with a small pair or anything anyways.
On the river, my thoughts were that he'd bet any pair, anything less than ace high, and possibly even ace high if he puts me on an small piece or something. Hence the check(-raise).
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Using your logic for the flop play i.e. see what limper does, now that it's HU shouldn't you lead turn when board pairs. If he bets the turn 90% + then I don't mind a check (C/R) on the turn.
As played, check on river is optimal, depending on your image. I don't see how the villain as described could not bet most holdings...
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