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Old 03-13-2007, 12:02 AM
Micturition Man Micturition Man is offline
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Join Date: Nov 2003
Posts: 805
Default Re: StudHi Great 4th street...now what??


Try doing a little math or playing around in twodimes and you'll see why it's so marginal.

In the actual hand you caught trips on 4th and got about as much action as you could possibly hope for.

Assuming you won the pot you got 25.6:1 for your 4th street investment. However you were about 20:1 to hit, and you easily could have lost to a flush (well not so much in this case), straight, higher trips, or boat.

The times you lose on the river in this hand it costs you about 6.5 big bets.

Truly, it's a marginal call. Especially when you consider that you could easily have been raised from behind by split aces and wound up investing 2 or more bets on 3rd, which makes it almost impossible for the initial call to be +EV.
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