Re: Misplayed AK out of position
This is a pretty clear fold. You played the hand well prior to this point, in my opinion.
My basic thoughts are:
1. You say you don't have a great read, but, frankly, the fact that you've played enough orbits to know that villain is aggressive pre-flop AND he has yet to showdown a hand, suggests he is probably pretty taggish, and could be a strong player. Based on this information I'm tempted to give him some credit.
2. You show a lot of strength by three-betting an UTG raiser from the small blind. I think, because of this, his flop raise is a lot more meaningful. I am expecting a pair here a lot of the time.
3. I don't think our AK has much showdown value, as a lot of opponents would check behind AK here, and we're calling to chop so often anyway.
4. I think that if we have good enough reason to believe villain might be tied with us and / or behind on the turn, might we not consider a semi-bluff there in order to realize the most equity. Calling the river only gains the 50% equity we have with other AKs, but a semi-bluff may actually steal some of that if that is what we want to do. In my opinion, that play would be spewy because of points #1 and #2 above, but IF we are confident we want to showdown AK I think we should at least consider check-raising the turn.
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