Re: March Low Content Thread.
I don't think so. SB in this hand has been playing a pretty aberrant preflop game (potting preflop with 5d 3h Ts 7c for example), and very aggro postflop though willing to fold when played back at. MP has been playing a fairly straightforward game as far as I can tell, raising preflop with strong low hands and AAxx. My reasoning as Hero in this hand was that MP did not have AAxx (else he would have 3-bet preflop) and that he must have a low-type hand, so his flop bet was much more likely to be a club flush draw than something like two pair. I was half-right; he was betting the flush draw but he had actually raised preflop with a non-AA high hand (first time I'd seen him do that).
As for SB, against most players I'd worry about some AAxx hand (who reraises from the SB with anything else?), but this guy was pretty weird preflop so I gave him credit for four cards (esp. since I figured two aces to be accounted for). I had expected him to fold to MP's flop bet and wasn't feeling good when he reraised, but given his previous aggression and weird play I just couldn't figure that I didn't have odds to call, since he was IMO about equally likely to have nothing, a draw, or a hand that was actually ahead of mine. As it turned out he had essentially nothing, which makes his play even weirder inasfar as bluffing me out of the hand would normally have gotten him HU against a hand that beat him. After the fact, I have to consider the possibility that he was a wizard of hand reading and had concluded that MP had nothing but a flush draw *and* that I had a pair of kings, so that I might give him credit for AA and fold, which would clean up his high outs against MP. Unfortunately for him, people adjust when you're a maniac, and I didn't get out of his way.
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