Re: Top 12 Analysis
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I don't think Phil has two weeks to develop a fan base. I think he has 2 days to come up with something good or it's over.
The girls are much stronger than the guys. Melidna, LaKisha, and the rest are going to pull a lot of votes away from the men, many more than the guys manage to pull back. The bottom girls are still here because they managed to pry a few votes away from the divas. They have already experienced diva pressure and are not likely to fall as far as the bottom guys when the two sides combine.
Add in Diana Ross and I don't see a girl leaving this week unless someone screws up badly.
Phil needs to find a guy he can beat and I doubt it's Sanjaya. Sanjaya's fan base seems more loyal and less likely to vote for a girl this week.
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Agreed. My views on this have changed somewhat after reading the post about the actual vote ranking. However, despite the sympathy voting for Haley, she still garnered less votes than Phil (if that list is correct). Brandon was also very close to Phil, and all he needs is one of his "typical" performances, and he could be gone.
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Stephanie is in a bind and there is probably nothing she can do about it. She could step her game up a lot and not be rewarded with many votes because Melinda and LaKisha have her potential audience locked up. Stephanie is in real danger of being the next girl out.
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I agree with most of that, but I don't think she's the next girl out. Despite the sharing of fan bases with the top divas, she (and Gina) have both shown to be more popular than Haley. I just can't see Haley singing well enough all of sudden to overcome others' popularity.
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Gina turned her entire situation around with one good performance and Haley could too. Unlike Stephanie, Haley is alone in her niche and there are lots of people who would vote for her if she improved a little.
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Agreed, but I just don't see it happening. I also see Gina totally messing up a song that doesn't fit the style she established this past week, but I don't think it'll kill her just yet.
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