Re: Moving the lines by \"hot\" cappers \"free\" posts, beware
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There won't be a long run...tip too many losers and nobody will listen anymore.
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Mmmmm, this is not true and it's fairly easy to cover those "losers" in a long season.
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Its certainly theoretically possible that a hot capper could sandbag the occasional game intentionally.
i.e. for arguments sake the capper knows he is a 60% winner. on 2% of the games, the capper intentionally posts the wrong side and plays the opposite once the line shifts.
The capper increases his own win percent to say 63% (whatever the line move on that 2% is worth) and the public gets ~58%. Everyone is generally happy because the capper is still posting winners.
But there's no way someone like Fezzik for example can post 45% winners for long and expect to continue to sway the lines.
People follow because they see something working. They get burned, they are quick to retreat in my experience.
All comes back to the simple maxim that free picks are worth 100% of what you're paying for them.
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