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Old 02-16-2006, 06:51 PM
Proofrock Proofrock is offline
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Join Date: May 2005
Location: Etherized upon a table
Posts: 1,384
Default Re: finally, i post a hand where my play is *not* weak-tight

So apparently this isn't too interesting -- i assume it's either obviously bad or pretty standard.

I need to be about 34% to win this hand and have it be +cEV. If UTG's range is 88+,AK,KQs,AQ, i'm about 27% to win. If his range is any pair, AJ+,KQ, then I'm getting about the right pot odds for it to be cEV neutral.

If I fold, I have a larger than average stack. If I call and lose, I've lost 25% of my stack and have a roughly average stack. If I call and win, I add 50% to my stack and have a 2x average stack.

I called figuring that his range was wide-ish (including lower pairs and lots of unpaired high cards), and that dropping from t20k to t15k, though definitely not good, doesn't fundamentally change my chip situation too much, but going from t20k to t30k does.

Thoughts?
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