Re: 200/400 Check TP HU?
So the question here is how often you will get an extra bb on the river. I think if half the time he improves to a second best hand or will bluff you should check. In all likelyhood he has approximately a 10% chance of drawing out on you. That means you lose about 0.5bb (pot is about 5bb). Of course these numbers are crude, but this sounds reasonable right?
My questions is what is your planned river action if he bets out? Raise and hope he won't fold his pair or just call?
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