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Old 02-23-2007, 02:49 AM
mr_npiv mr_npiv is offline
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Join Date: Feb 2007
Posts: 51
Default Re: Totally new poker strategy, want to get your input

This is what I have understood so far:
1) buy in for minimum amount
2) go all in
3) leave table

considering then the following stats:

minimum buyin is 50xBB
you will get called ~ 12% of the time (big hands)
when you do get called, you are ~ 35% likely to win
the pot on average is BB, SB + 1 limper = 2.5BB

EV when called (12%) =
35 * (2.5BB + 50BB) - 65 * (50 BB) / 100 = -14.125 BB

EV in total =
88 * 2.5 BB + 12( - 14.125 BB ) / 100 = 0.505 BB


[img]/images/graemlins/blush.gif[/img]

I actually wanted to prove this cheap tactic would have a negative expectation, apparantly not.

granted of course my starting presumptions are anywhere near the ballpark. Its very hard to know how many times people would call and what the real odds might be.

But fun exercise ... [img]/images/graemlins/grin.gif[/img]
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