Re: ask me about fantasy baseball v.2007
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trying to keep my criticisms to a minimum:
- anyone from 2-8 is absolutely not 'about equal'. i see the same error made every year in fantasy football, where people argue they would rather have a late pick so they can have two solid starting running backs. the talent curve is steepest in round 1. always has been, always will be. it is important to get your round 1 pick right.
howard was probably a poor choice over someone from the group of pujols, santana, soriano, reyes.
- there is nothing wrong with taking non-santana pitchers if they are good values. it is wrong to enter your draft with the mentality that you will not take a pitcher under any circumstances with a certain pick. you are simply passing up value if you refuse to take peavy at 46.
if he says to himself before the draft "i'm taking pitchers with my third and fourth picks," that is a mistake.
- there is nothing wrong with taking a catcher early. their numbers might not look great, but the combination of a .300-25-90 catcher and a late-round first baseman is usually better than a .310-30-100 first baseman and late-round catcher.
- clearly you are okay with punting a category now. i thought your stance on that was well established?
- though steals are slightly more inconsistent than homers--because your speedster could be facing mike piazza for a series--this is not nearly as big a factor as it is made out to be. would anyone really have been better off in last year's h2h with a 'consistent' power hitter like chris shelton or adam dunn? dunn might have single-handedly killed your team in the playoffs.
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Go ahead with the criticisms, its one of my favorite parts of fantasy. I love the arguing over different stategies and players [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img].
-The way I see it, from 2-8, you have A-Rod, Reyes, Howard, Santana, Ortiz, Soriano, and MCab. While some have less arguements than others, I think these guys are all pretty close in value.
-I completely agree with not coming in with a mentality of what you are going to/not going to do. However, I had the bigger problem with taking two pitchers consecutively early than one. I usually take my first pitcher in late 4th, 5th, early 6th, then offense until I feel I'm getting my moneys worth for pitchers. I, for example, think 48 for Peavy would be just about right, I dont think its great value by any means, but about equal.
-I myself would much rather have, say, Damon and Martin/Posada/Hernadez than McCann/Mauer and Eric Byrnes. To each his own.
- While I'm not in favor of punting categories by say, not drafting any relievers or any speedsters, one can get away with shirking SBs in H2H. Generally, your typically speedster will have high SB and good R. An equally ranked power hitter however, will have high R, RBI, and HR. .avg fluctuates depending on the player. It's a waste of a roster spot in H2H, I think, to have more then two speedster types (Pierre, Roberts, Lopez, Pods, etc.), preferably just one, if it is at the expense of power. While now that I think about it Grady, Roberts, and Lopez isn't quite overkill, I think one would be fine with say, 40 from lopez, then 10 from Martin, 10 from Lee, and 10 from Pujols. Its not punting, but rather you dont need to make sure you get your speed in H2H like you do in Roto.
-Because you get your steals usually from two or so players primarily, if they have bad weeks, or even average ones, you lose SB. If you have Adam Dunn, and he has a bad week, well, you still have Pronk, Carlos Lee, Andruw Jones, and Prince Fielder to pick up the slack. You dont have that slack with SB threats. Thats why they are less trustworthy than power.
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