Re: how long before PS UB and FT drop?
Well, I guess you can fight the PPA (the only group I know of doing anything - whether we agree with tactics or not) at every turn and take this wait and see attitude.
What happens in August if there aren't any rooms left open to US players?
It's hard enough to get people to take action now - even if it's dialing a phone or pushing send on a prefab online letter to Congress. Do you really think people will be motivated to do anything once there's nothing left to fight for?
If there are no rooms to play at - there will be no point (in the minds of most) to taking any kind of action. By then UIGEA will be a done deal. Goodbye online poker. Forever.
Aside from perhaps a handful of online pros (e.g. those with no political clout whatsoever), the only potential "players" left with an interest in a carveout or whatever else, will be the rooms and CP etc - those you feel the PPA is working too hard for now. But by then the market will have been obliterated and even they may determine fighting is would be -ROI. No way to know for sure. I guess we should just wait and see.
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