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Old 02-19-2007, 01:02 PM
MTSuper7 MTSuper7 is offline
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Join Date: Feb 2007
Posts: 89
Default Re: I can get one for sure, but can I stack two donkeys?

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If I call, BB will call with anything he has, and may re-raise anything that would call my push. His hand is very wide at this point: Top pair+, straight draw, flush draw, pair + gutshot, overcards + gutshot, whatever. Isn't it possible there is more value here in inducing him to call on the turn, and thereby making it more likely he'll stack off on the river, seeing that he's getting pretty good pot odds to call my river push?

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I can't tell you how many times I see greedy players get unlucky when someone catches a 4-outer to improve two pair to a full house simply because the greedy player slowplayed a made hand that wasn't a cinch. Also, a lot of the hands in MP's range are drawing hands, right? Doesn't it make sense to charge MP more money before all of the cards are out? In general, don't get greedy thinking about keeping both players in. Raise this pot on the turn. If you're not convinced yet, reread your post and think about what happens if a blank hits on the river (which is the most likely outcome). I don't think a slowplay has as much +EV as pushing the turn, especially if you're convinced that MP will come along for the ride no matter what you do. Forget about UTG - after MP's mini-raise, the pot's at $170. Raise to somewhere in the $140 range, giving MP about 3-1 odds on his river card (he won't be getting the right odds to call if he's on a flush or straight draw, but sounds like he will either call or raise based on your take).
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