View Single Post
  #5  
Old 02-17-2007, 09:56 AM
UtzChips UtzChips is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Jan 2007
Posts: 800
Default Re: AA to a turn raise on a scary board

Let's make the question harder and say I am the Button. I am tight/aggressive & I assume you are also.
We will also say that I had a brain fart and didn't re-raise preflop with AK/AQ/JJ+. That would make me more of "tight passive" player on this hand.
Here are the hands I would play against a tight/aggressive player who open/raises in EP:
AK = 8 ways
AQ = 8 ways
AJs = 2 ways
KQs = 4 ways
JTs = 2 ways
99= 6 ways
TT = 1 way
JJ = 3 ways
QQ = 6 ways
KK = 6 ways
AA = 1 way

I would have raised the Turn with all of those hands, except AK/AQ/AJ without the A [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] and 99.

There are 26 hands that I could have that you have beat.
There are 9 hands that I would have raised with that you don't have beat.

I only count 3 hands, of 47 possible hands played, that a really tight-passive player would raise with, i.e., the made flushes. That is, if you think he would just call with the made full house hands.

Villian should have, even being tight-passive, raised on the Flop with QQ/KK/AA.

There are ten hands that he could be semi-bluffing with, i.e, The A [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] X hands.

So, I would fold if I were you up against the guy you up against, and re-raise against me [img]/images/graemlins/grin.gif[/img]

If I were me playing the Button, I'd tighten up my requirements for raising the Turn [img]/images/graemlins/tongue.gif[/img]. I should drop AQ/AJ with the A [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] and the 3 KQs that don't make a flush should probably be mucked.

Jeez, I spew a lot on the Button in these situations.. [img]/images/graemlins/frown.gif[/img]
Reply With Quote