Re: KTo from the Btn
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no one has said to raise preflop, so i will say it:
raise preflop!
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Is this 100% for sure? Pokertracker says I win with KTo 30% of the time from the from the button. So I'd have a slight advantage if BB and/or SB called the raise, but I'd be at a disadvantage if both blinds folded, as far as pot equity goes. If I just called, then I'd have a clear pot equity edge into the flop, plus I saved a SB to use for a free card play if I flop a draw. Seems about break even to raise preflop, or am I missing something?
I think raising the flop here is definitely correct. There are probably a couple spades out already, but the overcard and bdsd make up for that. Your pot equity is over 30% easy and the great thing is that you know everyone is going to call your raise.
On a side note, over the past couple months, I've noticed a lot of otherwise never-bluff LP players make bluffs on paired and 1-suited flops, especially from EP. I was wondering if there was an article about it in highroller or some other mag, and now everyone's doing it. I'm sure it's a really high EV bluff for most LPs. Anyways, if I was playing this hand I think I'd be less worried about SB having spades and more worried about the callers.
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