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Old 02-14-2007, 01:18 PM
Befolder Befolder is offline
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Join Date: Sep 2004
Location: Heading back to black
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Default Re: No, I am saying the argument fails because it confuses people

Shouldn't the mere fact that the distribution of cards to each player over the long term is equal say something. If everyone receives their fair share of full houses and suck outs, which we do, then the cards become a null factor don't they?

If you take ten players at a table and systematically set them up in the exact same 1000 situations. The luck factor says that the chips will be even again after those 1000 trials. We all know that's not true because a skillful player will make good laydowns when he needs to, or make that value bet on the river, thus extending his advantage over the non-skilled player.

If the cards are random and even, then another factor must be responsible for the difference in winnings/losses between players.

It's absurd to think that I've had four positive years because I'm on an incredible streak of luck.
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