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, if you're going to break the games down so far as each goalie being used, why don't u consider the quality of the ice at game time, the referees in the game, and other IMO not so important factors that play into each game.

I understand that different goalies will effect the outcome, but for all that work you have to do to come up with these stats, I don't think it will raise your ROI enough to justify the extra work.

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because goalie in net probably has a significant effect of decent magnitude and is easily obtained
whereas the other factors mentioned don't line up that easily.

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you are right and I guess I exaggerated a little when I compared it to those other factors. The goalie in net has a much greater impact on over/under totals then the quality of ice or referees. I was just trying to make a point that there are a basically unlimited # of factors that go into each and every game and to try to analyze them all is very unlikely.