Re: OT: STTF [censored] thread, February
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People are much more likely to call your river bet with 2nd/3rd pair (after you check the turn) than they are to call your turn bet with the same hand.
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yeah, i use the line you love when i want to value bet my weak top pair, good 2nd pair, whatever, depending on opponent. but maybe this is just something fundamentally different at .25/.5, .5/1 and anything higher?
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I think this is a key point.
To me, my opponent's play is idiotic. Perhaps I'm being deluded by a small sample size, but I genuinely can't recall one player calling my river bet after check/calling flop, checking turn and checking river.
I <u>assume</u> that players get better as I move up and this stops being a huge source of profit for me.
That said, I'm enjoying how my NL 6-max adventure is starting. mid-20s VPIP, high teens PFR, and it seems fairly smooth so far.
It has also highlighted to me that a huge chunk of profit and loss comes from a small number of hands (nut flush v second nut flush; trips v overpair; etc.).
My other early observation is that re-raising preflop and on the flop is very rare at $100NL and below.
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