Re: Week 15, post 2
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Your teasers seem to defy convention...I got burned teasing the Raiders to +21 (10pt)vs the Chargers, then did it the other way with the Bengals(-3,10pt) vs the Browns and the push lost it for me!
I also wonder about the Colts, Cowboys, Seahawks and Bengals for this week...these look like good situations, is it a bad idea to tease to a negative number?
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I don't know much about 10pt teasers nor whether there's much value teasing a +11 to +21. But I can tell you the decision to tease to -3 on Cin is HORRIBLE, doubly so since ties loose. The goal of teasers is to use the points to make your side MUCH more likely to win. In the Cinci case you absolutely have to pick up the 3 by teasing them to -2.5. I don't whether it's a good bet at -2.5 (depends on your odds # of teams etc) but I can guarantee it was a bad bet at -3.
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