Thread: Variance
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Old 02-03-2007, 09:27 PM
Abbaddabba Abbaddabba is offline
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Join Date: Jul 2005
Posts: 827
Default Re: Variance

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listen to schneids, as a younger buck i would maximize my losing sessions by playing longer and sit out too quick when running hot. Definitely not smart


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Im guilty of this, but i dont think it really affects you that much as long as you arent playing in tough games. The fact is, even when semi tilting, i have a big enough edge at the 5/10 to 15/30's to win. If i was playing in tough games like you guys do, every small margin makes a huge difference.

The psychological rationale is fact that breaking the "even for the day" threshold is a lot more significant than each dollar after.

Being down $500 is more than twice as bad as being down $1000 for me.

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its very easy to think of scenarios where players bluffing and semibluffing and valueraising you more will decrease your edge.

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Only if they were overly passive to begin with.

If they were more aggressive than they ideally ought to be, any further aggression magnifies the error.

If you assume that more people err on the side of passivity (and that you losing corrects that error), then you're right.
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