[fnord_too]

Hopefully Barron will be able to do the statistical analysis he suggested soon. I don't know how unlikely the stats are; if it turns out a losing player with his observed mean and SD has 5% chance of hitting these numbers over the sample size I would be surprised (it was that high) but not shocked.

If it turns out that he is likely a winning player despite his unorthodox style, there is just a ton of analysis that would be interesting. One thing I would like to see in that case is how he does against specific profiles HU (e.g. TAGs, LAGs, etc.), how players numbers change when he is in a pot (that is, how does the mere fact that he is in the pot change the dynamic of the game), how he does in multi-way pots, etc.

Here's one non math thought I had about some of the apparently poor post flop play on some hands: He may make some plays purely heuristically. For instance, maybe he makes a river overcall that is clearly -EV given the opponents and the fact that he knows the opponents because he is involved in hands on two other tables at the time, it's his action, and he sees a large pot and a hand with some apparent show down value. That is, maybe some of the blatently bad plays are due to the multitabling effect.