Re: DERB
Some stats, using J_V's original numbers:
[ QUOTE ]
Don't ever run bad. Party 30/60 player:
{{Hands 73,824 - VIP 30 - R 17 - NF 21 - ag 2.0
Total winnings: $114,281
Routinely 3 bets small pocket pairs from bb, caps certainly dominated hands.
Fishy?
[/ QUOTE ]
This results in:
BB/100: 2.58
If we assume that:
(1) DERB has std deviation of 2 BB per game (which I believe is reasonably conservative - the std deviation I have experienced in full-ring 15/30 is 1.74 BB per game);
(2) He is a breakeven player (ie, expected win rate is 0 BB/100)
Then with a confidence of 99.7% (3 std dev), his win rate over 73,824 hands will fall between -2.22 and +2.22 BB/100.
I will let you draw your own conclusions from this.
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