[Abbaddabba]

Based on the river raise, how often do you think you're ahead? More than 50%, obviously if you'd prefer 2 bets to go in to one.

But by how much? Because unless you're just barely skimming the 50% barrier, it becomes closer to a bet/3bet or check/raise than it does to a bet/call (largely dependent on his 3bet and capping range).

Being ahead 33.33% of the time is breakeven for a bet/3bet if he only caps with better hands, always caps with better hands, always calls with worse hands AND you always call the 4bet. Since those obviously arent all true, it's considerably closer to 50%. So close that i'd say that if you want to bet/call, there's realy not a big difference between that and bet/3betting.